Csgo case odds
Feb 7, cs go case odds. Do you think unboxing Cases in a row gives a good chance of dropping a knife? ; Chance to get to unusual is 1% like in csgo. 0 Kommentare. cs go case odds. Since out of cases even one or two extra in the reds or knife area can really Youtube Sources: Sparkles ☆ #1 Gaming - CSGO. 2. Sept. Just to note, there also didn't appear to be any significant changes in the rarity percentages when comparing the CS:GO Cases vs the eSports. Ursprünglich geschrieben von NightRider:. Numbers are incredibly close to the announced numbers. Einige Geodaten dieser Seite werden von geonames. My study cases that started about 3 years ago as well got the following results: Hope you can use the results I found! Here Valve has a fantastic edge and people are still unboxing thousands of cases. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our User Agreement betway login Privacy Casino app echtgeld android. Obviously these numbers will not oddset kombi wette spielplan b exact, but given the sample size I believe they should give a pretty good insight into the drop rarity and worth. Too bad that's not how stats works. A slight increase on the Blues as I reckon don't sell that well due to oversaturation and just stay in the market or people not selling as many higher quality items. I've been saying this since I started playing GO and I will say it again. Copenhagen Games - Thursday. Best Case To Open Within each rarity, there didn't appear to be any major weighting, with each weapon dropping a similar amount.
Csgo case odds -From party poker shop research many bedeutung zahl sieben did before it was 'known' that the ratio is 1: If i really badly want a skin, i will just buy it, unless it is a really really high value skin, and in that case i won't. Thanks for the insight. Both my knives Casino frankreich opened one was a karambit night BS, other was flip knife boreal forest BS. Upvoting posts that you like helps more people in the community see spiele roulette kostenlos. KCiV Profil anzeigen Beiträge anzeigen. Beste Spielothek in Benediktbeuern finden go case odds Do you think unboxing Cases in a row gives a good Beste Spielothek in Achternholt finden of dropping bayern münchen psg knife? Deine E-Mail-Adresse wird nicht veröffentlicht. I see skulls MP7 and Momento Mag-7 in most people's inv, asumming it's most dropped guns ever. What is no deposit bonus codes silver oak casino chance of a knife skin drop in Counter-Strike: Csgo Case Industry Intro: That's why I don't spend money on keys lawl. GO is a business and skins were not introduced to please players, but to make money. Are you still going to open cases after the odds were released? Beiträge 1 — 15 von Stay away from it its scamming: Ursprünglich geschrieben von Tamaba-chan:. GO Cases vs the eSports. GO Cases vs the eSports Cases.
GO matches from one sportsbook because that sportsbook may have better information or worse information about an upcoming match.
Sometimes a sportsbook that is just starting to offer CS: GO might take some time to get up to speed with setting the correct lines.
In other cases a sportsbook might want to offer betting lines on Counter Strike: Global Offensive that are more attractive to players as a promotional tool, reasoning that offering better odds is worth the slight cost if it attracts new customers.
But even small differences can add up quickly, particularly if you plan on betting on a large amount of matches over time. At this stage, the smartest play is to identify online sports books where you feel comfortable playing and then shop around among those books for the best price on each match.
Spreading out your CS: In addition to betway , the following sites offer odds on CS: Counter Strike is one of the most popular esports, and that popularity translates into broad coverage across online betting sites for CS: For any given CS: Finding odds on regional or second-tier CS: Didn't make much sense to me.
That's what I do anyways, but once in a blue moon I buy a few keys, because I want to support the game.
When the market is flooded with a thing it goes down in price. All the rare items have low supply which means high price.
And bcs all of this comes from cases and they need a key which is set by valve. So if the keyprice would go down the prices would also follow.
Items would be a lot closer in value thus making a return of money back when you decide to open a few cases. No, the return would be the same since like you already said the value of rare items would drop.
The value each item has is based on its rarity, and it is closed in a box which need to be opened with a key that cost money, the prices on the key would determine the actual price of the item.
Who controls the keys? Valve does, but by decreasing the price of the keys the amount of cases opened would probably go up, which would result in more supply for rare items therefore devaluing them.
Bcs valve know all this economic crap u and me are talking about means they have high cause of putting the right price of the key for maximum profit which would result in high income for valve.
I simply said the don't put price tags on the items. Sure they have some influence, but as you said they only care about the key price.
Well it does change a lot because I could buy a bunch of cool skins without spending hundreds of dollars. That's a huge positive change imo.
Supply and demand doesn't drive prices, gambling does. Well the proper way to look at it is to calculate an expected return, not just odds of winning or losing money.
Imagine a slot machine that costs 1 dollar to play. So more often than not, you lose money, but your expected return is. Now for CSGO cases it's harder to determine expected value since each case has many different skins all at different conditions, and knives are especially difficult to value, but I would guess the expected return is not terrible for some cases.
It's very possible that all of them are losing bets though. If you play a table game that has a So even though this lottery has a worse return, its the more efficient game to play if you're not planning on stopping until you're filthy rich or broke.
The equilibrium point for cases is almost certainly going to be lower. Odds alone don't really say anything. If we got the chance of getting a specific float and the chance of the different knifes only then can u determine if the opening is profitable or not and how much.
So how does opening cases is "worse than any the gambling sites ever" if you yourself agree that we do not know anything about returns?
My point was only that you can't use odds of winning alone to compare gambling methods and how "good" they are.
These percentages seem to be pretty consistent in every "study" that people have made, here are two that I remembered of the top of my head.
Onscreen's cases percentages. Onscreen's spreadsheet has some glaring flaws which cause his formatting to completely throw the data off. I wanted to include his data in my spreadsheet but I had to go though and fix his first, either way I've opened 25, cases and the odds certainly align with the official ones https: From what i saw in openings on Yt i knew that cases are crap.
You either massively overestimate the income of cheat coders or massively underestimate the income of valve. Perfect World using shady wording for their percentages is still better than Valve refusing to release them at all yes I'm aware PW had to do this legally, but at least we have actual numbers now.
I think you might be right on this one as most organization in China would just do the bare necessity to satisfy the government and they would be like, I'm done and go to sleep.
I'm sure the wording is provided by Valve and Perfect World just translated it. Even as someone would can read Chinese, it confused the shit out of me and I have to read it like 5 times to understand that shit.
From the research many people did before it was 'known' that the ratio is 1: But it was believed that knives are also 1: Now the mistery is solved.
Ultra rare to Covert is 2: We sum up all the numbers. And now we divide the number by the sum. So in other words, cases are a huge scam like we always suspected.
A knife, less than half a percent! Fuck that, but those are completely trash odds Yeah, I'm not saying they shouldn't make a profit, but these odds are utterly terrible.
There's a casino, and then there's a scam and Valve is basically running both with cases. This way Valve makes a profit still, and getting a knife isn't entirely throwing your money away.
It's valve's game, they could put cases with just blue skins and you only open them if you want. Well, I agree but also disgaree.
I agree that third party sites are shady, so I don't advocate for them at all. In fact Valve should just ban them. But here's where I disagree with you, I still think Valve's cases are a scam, they are just a well thought out, legal scam.
On top of that, the odds are so incredibly low, that you are basically downsizing massively to a product not worth what you put in. The definition of fraud is: Now what Valve is doing is legal, so it's not criminal deception, but it's certainly wrongful in a moral way, as they result in a financial and personal gain by saying you have a chance to get a knife, but good luck since every roll it's less than a 0.
Good luck rolling a dice with sides and hoping it lands on the one side that has a knife on it Reeks of a scam to me, as they omitted the chances, thus it's more of a fraud by omission.
I get what you mean and knowing the risk I never opened a case myself, but it's not a scam because you can win in a losing game.
I consider that more a scam than csgo cases, at least those keep the odds the same for the information we were now given at least. A game is considered legal as long as you can win, doesn't matter if you lose times before.
I myself wish gambling was a dead thing, especially in csgo for how much it has hurt the game and here we are, dealing with the same shit again.
I think I have opened cases for at least e if I am being honest. Because I could afford it and it's fun.
And I have gotten 3 knives. But I pretty early figured that it's just much wiser to buy the skins I like, because the fact that it's impossible to get a drop you actually like makes it so that the nice skins hold value anyway.
It's not like a casino where you are given money for winning. When you sell a knife, it is sold to another user and not valve.
And it costs valve nothing to make these skins. Valve pays the skin makers a fair share of the profits, if they only made in house skins they still would have to pay the artists their salary.
You are not getting the point.. Which they still have to pay their workers to model and texture and implement, im tired of this sentiment that valve is an entity that can press a button and magically create things to sell for high prices without spending a time.
Yeah but the value of the skins is determined by the market, not valve. Let's say the odds were better. Then the prices of hhe better skins would be accordingly lower.
Valve has literally no incentive to raise the odds though. Here Valve has a fantastic edge and people are still unboxing thousands of cases.
They could make it better, but will that many more people rush to unbox? This is their optimal profit zone.
NT man, but even with those odds, in a perfect world, you would uncrate 5 coverts out of cases. Plus there's already some covert items below the price of a key right now, so it's a bit rich to say the odds I propose would create a "problem", when items like the AUG Chameleon and the Galil Chatterbox are already below the price of a key.
I don't really know what you want to achieve because there is no way to design it to make it profitable as long as ppl can sell it for whatever they want.
And your examples are perfect for what I mean. Show me the direct calculations you have to get those kinds of figures, because right now it seems you're speculating or estimating.
Valve doesn't authorize people selling things for paypal. This is why you will receive no help if you're scammed through paypal.
You don't get items returned but the user can be trade banned. Shouldn't need to come to this, but somehow people don't understand the box telling you "this is a gift".
Valve never loses money on skins though. In fact, Valve actually makes more money when rare skins drop. The difference is that Casinos don't charge you to walk in the door.
I don't see how that takes away from my argument. Its a completely optional part of the game. Casinos are free to go into.
You don't pay a door fee to gamble. They also give you free drinks to encourage you to gamble. Valve isn't handing out free booze either.
Valve charging for the game and charging to open cases makes it a completely different business model than a casino. Therefore they are incomparable.
Ppl scam themselves being willing to sell that low. Market is broken cause of ppl who don't care about money and they go for expensive knives while selling everything else as fast as they can.
On the other hand you can buy nice skins "cheap" on the market if you are not a whale. Thank you for the math, but how do you add the StatTrak chances?
It would lower the all these percentages even more, right? It's around 1 in 17 So many confusing names, qualities, colors and coniditions.
GO are in no way intuitive. What is this shit, why is it categorized like this? Are u kidding me? I've only unboxed 1 covert Click here to recheck and delete this comment!
I used this relation to formulate the problem and I got the following, not sure if it's correct though. Guns with the same chance of dropping not always have the same price though, so not based only off that.In my eyes that's creating value from nothing. Of the drops, 29 of them 8. Also it's probably random, meaning every condition has the same chance. But keep on trucking with how what I propose is "problematic" bro! But best playtech online casino fact that it's so insanely hard to get a knife you actually want, I learned a long time ago to just buy the skins I like. Sure they have some influence, but as you said they casino rewards vip slot care about the key price. The definition of fraud is: Guns with the same chance of dropping not always have the same price though, so not based only off that. There may wie lange dauert eine paypal zu paypal überweisung be too many Coverts or too few Classifieds in my numbers. It's not like a casino where you are given money for winning. Why'd they make it so obvious that they don't want to easily give the percentage by wording it süper lig türkei this?